THE EFFECT OF LAND USE PLANNING ONECONOMIC VULNARABILITY TO DISASTERMANAGEMENTINLOW INCOME NEIGHBOURHOODS OFELDORET URBAN AREA, KENYA
Abstract
The urban residents of low income neighbourhoods Worldwide faces economic vulnerability to Disaster  due  to  difficulties  to  acquire  serviced  land  to  enhancetheireconomic  resilience  by improved  human  settlements  and  for  commercial  purposes.Land  use  planning  seeks  to regulate land use inordly and efficientmanner.Thus, it enableslow incomeurbanresidentsin neighbourhoods  toaccess  serviced  land  at  affordable  prices,  access  socio-economic  services, infrastructure, transportation facilities and good environment. Thisstudy sought to evaluate the effect  of  land  useplanning  on  economic  vulnability  to  disastermanagement(EVDM),  witha view to determine the best urban land use planning strategies and policies that could minimizedisaster  riskamong  the  urban  residentsin  Eldoret  Urban  Area(EUA).  Specifically  the  study went  out:(i)  To  examine  the  influence  of  urban  land useplanningregulatory  instruments  on economic vulnerability todisastermanagement inlow income neighbourhoods inEUA; (ii) To determine the effect of urban land zoning on economic vulnerability to disastermanagement inlow  income  neighbourhoods  ofEUA;and  (iii)To  establish  the  effects  ofurban  land  transitcirculation and connectivity on economic vulnerability to disastermanagement inlow income neighbourhoods  ofEUA. Subsequently,  H01,  H02,  and  H03  were  derivedfrom  the  specific objectivesrespectively.  Descriptivesurveyresearch designwasused.  The  classical  spatial economic  theory  (making  room  model);and  disasterreduction  theory  (community-based model)wasappliedin  this  study.The  study  targetedthe  urban  residentsin  Eldoret Urban Areasof(Langas,Kamukunji  and  Kapsaos).  Proportional  stratified  random  sampling  wasapplied for the purpose of quantitative datacollection, while purposive sampling was used for qualitative  data.A  total  sample  size  of  550  respondents  wassampled.Questionnaire  was  the main instruments to collect primary data,alongside key informantinterviews (KIIs)and focus group discussions (FGDs).Finally; descriptive,inferential, regression and correlationstatistics wereapplied  in  data  analysis  and interpretation.  Resultsindicated  that  land  use  planning regulatory  instruments  have  combined  influence  of  69.0%  over  disastermanagement.  Test results on H01 showed that there was significantly positive relationship between urban land use planning and disastermanagement. The effect of  Land use planning regulatory instrument on EVDM  was significant  positive  (R=0.878),  the  study  revealedthat  Land  use  planningregulatory  instrument  accounted  for87.8%  (R2=.771)  of  EVDM.  The  other  variables  in  the urban  areas  explained  the  remaining  12.2%.  Urban  Land  use  Zoning (LUZ) had  a combined influencedof  73.0%  on  EVDM.Test  results  on  H02  indicatedthat  there  was  a  significant positive relationship between LUZ and EVDM activity level. Circulation and connectivity had a  combined  influence  of  73.0%  on  EVDM.  Test  results  for H03observed  thatthere  was  a significant positive relationship between connectivity and circulation and EVDMactivitylevel (r=  .883).  Therewas  an  indication  that  Connectivity  and  Circulation  explained  78.0% (R2=.780) of EVDM. Thefindings are a pointer to the factthat land use planning and its threedimensions   had   significantly   positive   effects   oneconomic   vulnerability   to   disastermanagement. From these results, itcanbeconcluded that urban land use planning is a critical tool or technique in designing and developing urban areas where hazardous zones are mapped, demarcated   and   kept   off   from   urban residents’socioeconomic   activities. The   study recommendsthat  urban  authorities  must  focus  on  urban  land  use  planning  to  achieve sustainable development and growth.

